Sunday, March 24, 2013

Andrew Kohut: GOP Is Estranged From America

Andrew Kohut (left), founding director and former president of the Pew Research Center, writes that the Republican Party is estranged from America, a situation that he views as similar to that of the Democratic Party of the late 1960s and the early 1970s. The GOP has a negative public perception and is driven by a staunch conservative base representing a narrow portion of the electorate that leaves it little room for broader appeal:

While there are no catchy phrases for the Republicans of 2013, their image problems are readily apparent in national polls. The GOP has come to be seen as the more extreme party, the side unwilling to compromise or negotiate seriously to tackle the economic turmoil that challenges the nation.

…The Republican Party’s ratings now stand at a 20-year low, with just 33 percent of the public holding a favorable view of the party and 58 percent judging it unfavorably, according to a recent Pew Research Center survey

…The party’s base is increasingly dominated by a highly energized bloc of voters with extremely conservative positions on nearly all issues: the size and role of government, foreign policy, social issues, and moral concerns. They stand with the tea party on taxes and spending and with Christian conservatives on key social questions, such as abortion rights and same-sex marriage.

These staunch conservatives, who emerged with great force in the Obama era, represent 45 percent of the Republican base. According to our 2011 survey, they are demographically and politically distinct from the national electorate. Ninety-two percent are white. They tend to be male, married, Protestant, well off and at least 50 years old.

…I see little reason to believe that the staunch conservative bloc will wither away or splinter; it will remain a dominant force in the GOP and on the national stage. At the same time, however, I see no indication that its ideas about policy, governance and social issues will gain new adherents. They are far beyond the mainstream.

Any Republican efforts at reinvention face this dilemma: While staunch conservatives help keep GOP lawmakers in office, they also help keep the party out of the White House. Quite simply, the Republican Party has to appeal to a broader cross section of the electorate to succeed in presidential elections.


Michael The Molar Maven said...

The GOP has only itself to blame. President Obama was very vulnerable before the last election, yet, as we know, he won by a rather large margin. Why? Because the conservative republicans, who control the party only by the strength of its noise, refuse to compromise with its more moderate, right-of-center base. David Brooks pointed this out clearly in his essay, "How Movements Recover" dated March 25, 2013. The GOP will have to accept its smaller share of the electorate if it continues to "stick to its core priciples"'; it can only grow if it takes the risk of entertaining the wider appealing ideas of its moderate wing. Kohut has it right.

Jeff Tone said...

Kohut also has it right as to why the GOP can't accept this advice and move forward.